With barely seven months remaining before Nigeria's next general election, the architectural plans for President Bola Tinubu’s re-election are becoming flagrantly obvious. It is a strategy that relies less on convincing a severely impoverished electorate of his economic merits and far more on ensuring that when voters finally enter the polling booths, they find no viable alternatives. The recent, dizzying reversal by the Lokoja federal high court; setting aside its own earlier judgment that formally recognized the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), is merely the latest symptom of a deeply malignant trend. As the African Democratic Congress (ADC) rightly observed in a scathing public rebuke, what is unfolding across Nigeria’s political landscape is a coordinated, administrative asphyxiation of opposition voices. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) is no longer content to merely defeat its opponents at the ballot box; it is using the state's legal and regulatory apparatus to dissolve them before they can even get there.
In a healthy democracy, political parties compete on ideas, track records, and policy alternatives. Under the Tinubu administration, opposition political parties spend their energy navigating a labyrinth of manufactured internal crises, sudden leadership disputes, and highly suspicious judicial interventions.
The playbook has become predictable. An opposition party gains momentum or hints at an alliance, only for an obscure faction to suddenly emerge, launch a leadership challenge, and drag the entire structure into a prolonged legal paralysis. From the People's Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labour Party to smaller, foundational platforms like the ADC and the newly emergent NDC, no challenger has been spared. By weaponizing the judiciary and fracturing the opposition, the Tinubu administration is quietly building a de facto one-party state.The mechanics of opposition suffocation is crystal clear and systematic. First, the government instigates or exploits artificial internal leadership fractures. Step 2 is deploying friendly judicial vectors to freeze party assets and structures. Step 3: deregister or un-recognize emerging alternative platforms entirely. The result is a bewildered electorate left with a single, un-challenged option. The tragedy of this deliberate destabilization is that the primary casualty is not any single politician's ambition, but the basic constitutional right of the Nigerian people. When the state systematically narrows the democratic arena, fair competition is replaced by administrative fiat.
Perhaps the most dangerous element of this democratic backsliding is the ongoing subversion of the judiciary. Historically, Nigeria’s courts have served as the vital, final line of defense against executive overreach. Today, however, there is a corrosive, growing public perception that the courts have been successfully co-opted as a playground where political battles are settled on behalf of those who wield executive power. Justice must not only be done; it must be visibly seen to be done. Nothing is more fatal to a constitutional republic than an electorate that believes the ballot box is irrelevant because the outcomes have already been curated in a judge's chambers.
The Lokoja court’s sudden about-face on the NDC's party status reads less like a dispassionate correction of legal procedure and more like an opportunistic use of judicial power to clear the field. When judges begin deciding which parties are allowed to exist on the eve of a major national election, the judiciary ceases to be an impartial arbiter and becomes an active partner in engineering a de facto one-party state. The current administration's frantic rush to neutralize challengers exposes a deep-seated anxiety. With inflation crippling households and businesses buckling under macroeconomic shockwaves, an open, competitive election poses a distinct threat to the incumbent.
The response to this vulnerability has been an aggressive assertion of executive dominance. By weaponizing poverty, orchestrating institutional captures, and letting loose a cascade of legal distractions, the APC is constructing a political monopoly in all but name. It is an attempt to reduce Nigeria’s vibrant multi-party experiment into a hollow ritual—an election where the outcome is predetermined because the opposition has been legally dismantled.
The ADC’s call for a united front among civil society, organized labor, the media, and alternative political platforms is an urgent necessity. The warning is clear: a government that successfully suffocates one alternative today will comfortably suffocate the rest tomorrow. If Nigerians do not collectively resist this creeping authoritarianism, they will wake up to find that their hard-won democracy has been quietly replaced by a civilian autocracy, wrapped neatly in the deceptive language of the law.
Editorial: Deregistration of NDC & Matters Arising
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